Let me start with an argument, because arguing back is the whole point of this thing.
The projections say Josh Allen scores more fantasy points than any player in the game this year, around 362 in half-PPR. He goes in the second round. Meanwhile the same projections have a cluster of quarterbacks, Dak Prescott, Brock Purdy, Trevor Lawrence, all within a few points of 300, and most of them go somewhere between the eighth and twelfth rounds.
That gap is the entire lesson. A ranking hands you Josh Allen and moves on. A good draft buddy tells you why you should not take him there: quarterback is deep, the drop from the best one to a perfectly fine one is small, and those early picks are worth far more spent on running backs and receivers, where the cliff is real. It does not just give you a name. It argues.
If you have read this newsletter all season, that is the same read you have watched me run on baseball every week, a player, a number underneath the surface, and a reason. Now it is pointed at your football draft.
What it actually is
Oddsmyth now does fantasy football draft prep in chat. You tell it your pick and your scoring format, half-PPR, full PPR, standard, and it tells you who to take and why, using live 2026 average draft position and current projections.
The part that matters: it needs no league connected at all. You can be drafting on Sleeper, ESPN, or Yahoo, in the room with your buddies, and just have Oddsmyth open on the side. Ask it “I’m at 1.08 in half-PPR, I took a receiver and a back, who now?” and it reads the live board for your exact slot, quotes the current ADP, and points you at the value that is likely to last another round.
It runs on the same kind of data I lean on for these posts, just the football version. Live Sleeper ADP across the major scoring formats, current projections, positional rank. When it tells you a player is a value, it will show you the ADP sitting under the projected role, the way I show you the xSLG sitting under the slugging line.
The honest fence
A few things I want to be upfront about, because pretending otherwise makes every real thing worth less.
It is chat draft prep this season, not a live-draft auto-sync that fills your roster for you. It is built for snake redraft leagues; auction dollar values are not in yet. And it is football, so the same rule holds as always: the projections are estimates, ADP shifts by the hour near your draft, and this is an edge and a well-read second opinion, not a guarantee. It sharpens your process. It does not know which rookie running back the coach benches in Week 3.
It works with your ESPN league or with no league at all, which also means it needs nothing from Yahoo. For those of you whose Yahoo baseball league is one of the ones still reconnecting, this is a thing you can use today that asks none of that.
Try it before your draft
Drafts are already going, and the ones this weekend and over Labor Day are where most leagues get decided. If you want the same read that graded its baseball calls all season, now pointed at your football pick, open it up and tell it your slot and scoring.
Free to start. Five credits at signup, quick questions are always free, and follow-ups in the same conversation cost nothing, which matters in a draft where you ask a lot of them.
Start at oddsmyth.ai, or on the app if you have it. Good luck this draft season.
See you Friday.